I'm just really grateful the New Rider #2 isn't an exclusive, because it is for the MG Figurise model kit and always has been for Medicom's RAH DX figures.
He's a main Rider. Main Riders are never exclusives.
From past history, the general rule of thumb for Figuarts is:
Main Riders, Secondary Riders, "major" forms for Main Riders, ultimate forms for Main Riders, highly prominent costumed supporting cast = mass release.
Movie Riders, Secondary Rider alt forms, "minor" forms for Main Riders, kaijin, bikes, accessories = web exclusives.
Take OOO for example. The mass releases are:
- OOO main form
- OOO major combos (GataKiriBa, RaToraTa, etc.)
- OOO ultimate form
- Birth
- Ankh
The exclusives are:
- mix and match OOO combos
- effect parts and accessories
- Greeds
- movie exclusive combos
There are some exceptions (the Double and First bikes, the Kabuto movie Riders), but you can usually rely on this pattern being true about 95% of the time.
Again, for example, we don't have any Blade Figuarts yet, but I can already predict that the line-up will look like this:
Mass release:
- Blade, Garren, Chalice, and Leangle
- Blade King form
Exclusives:
- Blade and Garren Jack form
- Wild Chalice
- Glaive, Lance, and L'arc
- Blue Spader
It's just a matter of knowing the pattern.